November 04, 2012

Good Feelings,Bad Feelings, Loyalty and Ignorance

The true test of voting strength comes the 13th Ge will be underpinned by 4 main factors.

As they ready themselves to mark an X on the ballot paper,what prevails over them?
Feel good, do good
If it is an immensely good feeling they have over a candidate or its party, then the X will find its mark.

Similarly,if he possessed bad feelings toward a party or that particular candidate, the other guy gets his vote.

Adamant adversarial voter
Then we have the issue of loyalty to consider. For some, they are loyalists through and through. No amount of cajoling or persuasion can work on them on the eve of the election. They are driven and most party are happy with these kind of voters. They are a sure bet!

Mostly blind to any cause
Lastly, we have the ignorant ones. These you can influence as they near the polling station. Once they get a picture in their mind based on the last sliver of information drummed into them, then like sheep to the slaughter, they will just vote for that party or person.

Easiest to sucker in
If we can roughly have a ball-park figure of the voters that can be influenced based on these 4 factors then we can do some particularly close prediction.

Can we do this for the forthcoming 13th GE?

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