December 01, 2012

Three Degrees of A Likely Implosion

A Clear and Present Danger

Now that the Annual General Assembly of UMNO is over, what is there in the minds of the returning delegates?

Did they receive a clear  message or was it garbled mis-communication or worse, disinformation being leased onto them?

Or did they know better?

While PM and President Najib's message rang clear as the peals of a bell, did the delegates shut out their minds because of reasons better known to them?

How mush did the Deepak or Bala or even Musa's so-called un-timely in the midst of the convention, contentious revelations put paid to strategies and good intentions?

As far as the debate went, it was definitely not in the same groove as what Najib was coming from. Some spoke at cross-purpose but mostly went for opposition bashing.

To my mind there are three degrees of implosion that may likely arise if UMNO fail to sold one critical issue-

Exuberance and Optimism

 the candidature factor.

Will the old guards willingly go as they have mostly over-stayed? If they have clout, a lot to hide or a lot to lose, they will not budged to let in new blood to take their place.

The upcoming second-echelon  incumbents in entrenched positions-will they wait for another term  just move up or are in dire desperation to assume higher posts. If so, what if the higher incumbents do not budge? Sabotage or leave the party or go independent?

Lastly, fresh young blood from the next level, vitally important for party renaissance,  who are overly ambitious to move up. Will they relent patiently and take their time-slots for ascension?

Failure to resolve the above issues will negate any good intention of the leaders and may cause implosions and explosions.

Can UMNO contain these as the window of the election date closes in?

Some are already speculating that the date of dissolution of Parliament will be a day after Chap Goh Mei in 2013.