When good things come, they usually come in torrents and in deluge for primadonnas such as MRCB. Who says being an GLC affiliate doesn't pay?
Today, MRCB has hit high heaven after the Edge weekly reported that MRCB together with Ekovest is on the verge of receiving a handsome letter of award from the government for a portion of the Klang Valley river cleaning project. The portion may be worth up to RM 8 billion while the total project size is estimated some RM 15 billion.
Projects of such a nature are not new to MRCB. It has a strong niche in environmental and river rehabilitation projects. Some of the projects it has completed are Phase 1 of the Kuala Sg Pahang project worth RM 258 million and the RM 20 million Kg Perai, Penang River project.
This is HwangDBS's take on this development.
Assuming a 50:50 JV with Ekovest is in the works, MRCB’s portion could be worth some RM 4 bllion,though this could be over a longer time period. Judging by pretax margins of similar projects done by MRCB, margins could be in the region of 12 to 15%, way higher and beyond that of construction related jobs state gives a return of of just 5 to 8%.
HwangDBS have taken quite conservative assumptions for new order wins of just RM 600 million per annum for FY11-FY12F leaving room to raise forecasts. A potential wildcard for this project is the development rights for the land surrounding the Klang river which is understand to be substantive.
As such HwangDBS has reiterate a a buy on MRCB with a TP of RM2.90 pershare.
So,let us see how precise is HwangDBS on the rise and further rise of MRCB's share prices.
January 09, 2011
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