July 14, 2009

Manek Urai-An Amateur's Analysis

Manek Urai continues the string of by-election losses for BN. In fact it was the easiest place to clinch a victory, even though by a nose. Sadly for the BN, PAS won by hot breath, a mere 65 votes on the first to pass the post contest.

In this constituency in the PAS heartland of Kelantan, the demographics was even-99% were Malays. The Chinese and Indians were totally insignificant in terms of voter numbers. The victory could go either way.

BN had the entire machinery with it and a handful of great promises,knowing the victory for Manek Urai will be driven by the politics of development over ideology. The bridge promise was just too attractive for these eager rural folks. BN could see the light at the end of the tunnel.

As for PAS and Pakatan Rakyat, the slim slip-in victory tells them ever so loudly. Unity is strength.

Do not be proud, strutting around because like the heady peacock, you can be de-feathered.

The issues concerning the pig abattoir in Kedah and the split between the Erdogans and the fundamentalists in PAS has certainly played to their loss of votes.

Voters saw the in-fighting as a weakness in both PR and PAS and swing votes to the BN could have led to the wafer-thin victory of PAS.

Many may see the return of outstation voters to have brought the victory to PAS, especially given the background of the beginning of the Anwar II sodomy trial.

Be that as it may,one thing is crystal clear. Barisan is on the long march back on the heels of the rising popularity of PM Najib.

The prodigal BN son may yet return to Kelantan!

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