August 13, 2009

More Unemployment by Year end 2009

So, not all is well. As many expect some growth in the last quarter of 2009,today's projection of higher unemployment is definitely a dampener to high hopes. Mulling on the figure of 4.5% as the expected rate of unemployment by year-end, International Trade and Industry Deputy Minister Mukhriz Mahathir told reporters that this is higher than last year's rate of 3.7%.

"To us, the figure is high and we have never reached this high a figure before. At the same time, we are trying to reduce the jobless rate," he retorted after launching the Third National Internship Challenge here.

He said most factories that had laid off workers had begun to take back their former employees after demand had picked up.

As of July 7, Mukhriz said, statistics compiled by the Human Resources Ministry showed a cumulative figure of 38,732 workers retrenched due to the economic crisis.

Of the total, 29,712 were permanently terminated while 9,020 accepted voluntary separation offers. In addition, 40,662 workers had their pay reduced while 4,112 were temporarily laid off.

In his speech earlier, Mukhriz said that although downsizing in the current downturn was not as severe as during the 1997/98 Asian financial crisis when 84,000 Malaysians had lost their jobs, it was still a cause for concern.

"We need to do something by coming up with creative action to minimise the impact of this current crisis.

So, is his prediction going to come true?

August 11, 2009

The Giant Awakes at Sentosa

True to form,across the Causeway, Genting Singapore Plc, a unit of Malaysia’s Genting Bhd that operates casinos in the UK and is opening an integrated casino resort in Singapore next year, rose 6.1 per cent to 86.5 Singapore cents. So what is in the works? Is the company going to announce anything big tomorrow or this week-end?

I guess the two local units will start climbing tomorrow as speculators work overtime to spread sufficiently juicy rumours on both sides of the Causeway.

JP Morgan Chase & Co which covered Genting Singapore Plc, gives it a thumbs-up;an “overweight” rating with the share-price rising to S$1.20. So there is still more upside yet for this stock. Watch the prices of Genting M and Genting Berhad. They are surely due for a re-rating soon.

Postscript: Today(12 Aug), Genting Berhad tumbled 16 sen while Genting Malaysia dropped 7 sen. Let us see whether the price will jumped up in a V fashion the next two days.

Clearer picture on English for Teaching Science and Maths

The teaching and learning of Science and Mathematics in English will be scrapped in stages from 2012 starting with Year 1, Year 4, Form 1 and Form 4, Education Director-General Alimuddin Mohd Dom said.

Form Six and matriculation would not be involved in the scrapping of the policy, he added.

“As a ‘soft landing’ mechanism, the teaching and learning of both subjects will be carried out in two languages either in English and Bahasa Malaysia or Chinese or Tamil from 2010.

“The teaching and learning of Science and Mathematics for Year 4 in 2012, 2013 and 2014 and Year 5 in 2013, 2014 and 2015 and Year 6 in 2014, 2015 and 2016 will be conducted in two languages,” he told reporters after meeting Deputy Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin who is also Education Minister, here today.

In line with this, he said, Science and Mathematics examinations would be carried out in two languages until 2016.

Both subjects would be taught in two languages in Form 4 in 2012, 2013 and 2014 and Form 5 in 2013, 2014 and 2015, he said.

The Sijil Pelajaran Malaysia examinations for both subjects would be carried out in two languages until 2015, he said.

Good Fun Joke Here!

What a joke!

Enjoy!

Two men are out just fishing quietly and drinking beer.


Almost silently, so as not to scare the fish, Jim says, 'I think I'm gonna divorce my wife.She hasn't spoken to me in over 2 months.'

Earl continues slowly sipping his beer then thoughtfully says,'You better think it over, Jim. Women like that are hard to find.'

More Investment Banks Supports RCE


Analysts are positive on the prospects of RCE CAPITAL BHD [RCECAP 0.730 0.055 (8.148%)] which posted a net profit of RM18.5 million on the back of RM67 million in revenue for its first financial quarter of FY10 (1QFY10). Compared to the corresponding period a year ago, net profits soared by 36% while revenue increased by 42.2%.

According to Kenanga Research, the better showing was due to a growth in net loan receivables of 33%, lower finance costs, strong lending activities, as well as a 7.6 times increase in revenue contribution from the investment holding and management services division.

RCE Capital’s doubtful debt provision meanwhile was lowered by 26% to RM5.4 million due to improved recovery process, Kenanga added.

Quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q), 1QFY10 net profit remained stable, with marginal 0.1% growth, while revenue rose by 15.5% due to sustained demand for cooperative credit. However, this was offset by higher operating expenses and marketing costs (up 26%) resulting in pre-tax profit increasing by only 1.6%.

Nevertheless Kenanga added: “We believe the company’s loan repayment collection via direct salary deduction presents minimal default risk.”

Kenanga estimated a net profit growth of 15% for FY10 based on the assumption of 22% net loan growth.

“Prospects for the company remain positive as consumer demand for loan financing from cooperatives remains resilient,” said Kenanga which had a buy call on RCE Capital’s stock and a target price of 90 sen, a 39% premium to its close last Friday of 64.5 sen.

Meanwhile, Maybank Investment Bank (Maybank IB) said that RCE Capital’s net loan grew 5.1% q-o-q to touch RM1 billion, which is a remarkable 17.5% compound quarterly growth since 2QFY06.

However, it lowered its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts by 4%-8% to account for a dilutive impact of a private placement of 71.1 million new shares. The new shares, which started trading yesterday, increased RCE Capital’s share capital to 782.1 million shares. The private placement exercise raised RM39 million in cash (55 sen per share) for working capital purposes.

Maybank IB said that allowances for doubtful debts shrank 26% year-on-year, but was stable as a percentage of gross loans at an estimated 7%, adding that net non-performing loans ratio should remain below 3%.

“We maintain our 15% FY10 net loan growth assumption, suggesting RM1.09 billion in net loans by March 2010. However, this forecast now looks conservative given 1Q loan growth,” Maybank IB noted.

“We continue to favour RCE as a mid-cap exposure to a growing consumer loans segment at attractive PER (price-earnings ratio) valuations. Loan repayments are via compulsory salary deductions, implying low default risk,” Maybank IB said.

Maybank IB retained its buy call on RCE with an unchanged target price of 85 sen, based on eight times 2010 PER. “RCE continues to offer value, trading at 5.9 times 2010 PER and a high 22% ROE (return on equity).”

August 10, 2009

Grown and Not Built!

Wonder of wonders. Maybe it also happens in other parts of the world.

In the depths of northeastern India, in one of the wettest places on earth, bridges aren't built - they're grown.

The living bridges of Cherrapunji, India are made from the roots of the Ficus elastica tree. This tree produces a series of secondary roots from higher up its trunk and can comfortably perch atop huge boulders along the riverbanks, or even in the middle of the rivers themselves.

Cherrapunji is credited with being the wettest place on earth, and The War-Khasis, a tribe in Meghalaya, long ago noticed this tree and saw in its powerful roots an opportunity to easily cross the area's many rivers. Now, whenever and wherever the need arises, they simply grow their bridges.Walla!

US K-Workers Head for China

With an economy in limbo and pump-priming seeing negligible impact, new US graduates see the push and pull factor in operation.

To them, Shanghai and Beijing are becoming new lands of opportunity and they are heading there in droves.

Joshua Arjuna Stephens graduated from Wesleyan University in 2007 with a bachelor’s degree in American studies. Two years ago, he decided to take a temporary summer position in Shanghai with China Prep, an educational travel company. Even those with limited or no knowledge of Chinese are heeding the call. They are lured by China’s surging economy, the lower cost of living and a chance to bypass some of the dues-paying that is common to first jobs in the United States.

“I’ve seen a surge of young people coming to work in China over the last few years,” said Jack Perkowski, founder of Asimco Technologies, one of the largest automotive parts companies in China.

“When I came over to China in 1994, that was the first wave of Americans coming to China,” he said. “These young people are part of this big second wave.”

One of those in the latest wave is Joshua Arjuna Stephens, who graduated from Wesleyan University in 2007 with a bachelor’s degree in American studies. Two years ago, he decided to take a temporary summer position in Shanghai with China Prep, an educational travel company.

“I didn’t know anything about China,” said Stephens, who worked on market research and programme development. “People thought I was nuts to go not speaking the language, but I wanted to do something off the beaten track.”

Two years later, after stints in the non-profit sector and at a large public relations firm in Beijing, he is highly proficient in Mandarin and works as a manager for XPD Media, a social media company based in Beijing that makes online games.

Jonathan Woetzel, a partner with McKinsey & Company in Shanghai who has lived in China since the mid-1980s, says that compared with just a few years ago, he was seeing more young Americans arriving in China to be part of an entrepreneurial boom. “There’s a lot of experimentation going on in China right now, particularly in the energy sphere, and when people are young they are willing to come and try something new,” he said

And the Chinese economy is more hospitable for both entrepreneurs and job seekers, with a gross domestic product that rose 7.9 per cent in the most recent quarter compared with the period a year earlier. Unemployment in urban areas is 4.3 per cent, according to government data.

Grace Hsieh, president of the Yale Club in Beijing and a 2007 graduate, says she’s seen a rise in the number of Yale graduates who have come to work in Beijing since she arrived in China two years ago. She is working as an account executive in Beijing for Hill & Knowlton, the public relations company.

Sarabeth Berman, a 2006 graduate of Barnard College with a major in urban studies, initially arrived in Beijing to take a job that would have been difficult for a 23-year-old to land in the United States: programme director at BeijingDance/LDTX, the first modern dance company in China to be founded independently of the government.

Berman said she was hired for her familiarity with Western modern dance rather than a deep knowledge of China. “Despite my lack of language skills and the fact that I had no experience working in China, I was given the opportunity to manage the touring, international projects, and produce and programme our annual Beijing Dance Festival.”

After two years of living and working in China, Berman is proficient in Mandarin. She travels throughout China, Europe and the United States with the dance company.

Willy Tsao, the artistic director of BeijingDance/LDTX, said he hired Berman because of her ability to make connections beyond China. “I needed someone who was capable of communicating with the Western world.”

Another dynamic in the hiring process, Tsao says, is that Westerners can often bring a skill set that is harder to find among the Chinese.

“Sarabeth is always taking initiative and thinking what we can do,” he said, “while I think the more standard Chinese approach is to take orders.” He sees the difference as rooted in the educational system. “In Chinese schools students are encouraged to be quiet and less outspoken; it fosters a culture of listening more than initiating.”

Perkowski says many Chinese companies are looking to hire native English speakers to help them navigate the American market. “I’m working with a company right now that wants me to help them find young American professionals who can be their liaisons to the US,” he said. “They want people who understand the social and cultural nuances of the West.”

Perkowski’s latest venture, JFP Holdings, a merchant bank based in Beijing, hasn’t posted any job openings, but has received more than 60 résumés; a third of them are from young people in the United States who want to come work in China, he said.

Mick Zomnir, 20, a soon-to-be junior at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, is working as a summer intern for JFP. “As things have gotten more difficult in the US, I started to think about opportunities elsewhere,” he said. He does not speak Chinese but says he will begin studying Mandarin when he returns to MIT in the fall.

A big draw of working in China, many young people say, is that they feel it has allowed them to skip a rung or two on the career ladder.

Berman said: “There is no doubt that China is an awesome place to jump-start your career. Back in the US, I would be intern No. 3 at some company or selling tickets at Lincoln Centre.”

For others, like Jason Misium, 23, China has solved the cash flow problem of starting a business. After graduating with a degree in biology from Harvard in 2008, Misium came to China to study the language. Then he started Sophos Academic Group, an academic consulting firm that works with Chinese students who want to study in the United States. “It’s China’s fault that I’m still here,” he says. “It’s just so cheap to start a business.” It cost him the equivalent of US$12,000 (RM42,000), which he had in savings, he said.

Among many young Americans, the China exit strategy is a common topic of conversation. Stephens, Berman and Misium all said they were planning to return to the United States eventually.

Woetzel of McKinsey said work experience in China was not an automatic ticket to a great job back home. He said it was not a marker the way an Ivy League education is: “The mere fact of just showing up and working in China and speaking Chinese is not enough.”

That said, Woetzel added, someone who has been able to make their mark in China is a valuable hire. “At McKinsey, we are looking for people who have demonstrated leadership,” he said, “and working in a context like China builds character, requires you to be a lot more entrepreneurial and forces you to innovate.”

So, how does the US feel when they start losing K-workers to a potential competitor?