Housing Loan Cap: The First Salvos

They showed their vehemence demonstrably to Bank Negara Malaysia's proposal to cut housing loan quantum from 90% funding to 80%.

The reason for their opposition: They believe it will will only discourage Malaysians from buying houses as it will deter potential house buyers who have to bear the brunt of forking out an additional 10% of the house sales price.

The groups that are in opposition are chiefly, the National House Buyer’s Association (HBA) and Federation of Malaysian Consumers Associations (Fomca).

HBA secretary-general Chang Kim Loong said the proposal would go directly against the Government’s plans to encourage home ownership.

“Young professionals who are just starting out will be deprived of buying a home for themselves. How are they going to get the 20% upfront payment?"

"That does not include the legal fees and stamp duties house buyers have to pay,” said Chang when contacted yesterday.

He said the move would only be good if it targeted high-end buyers, as an effort to deter speculation.

On Sept 2, StarBiz reported that Bank Negara was engaging with banks on possible measures to curb excessive speculation on property prices.

One of the measures discussed was whether the central bank will be capping the loan-to-value ratio (LVR) for mortgages at 80% in order to avert the risk of a potential property bubble.

Currently, most banks provide loans of up to 90% of the value of the property.

Fomca secretary-general Muhd Sha’ani Abdullah urged the Govern­ment to ensure there was enough affordable housing available first before implementing such proposals.

“40% of the workforce earn up to RM1,500 a month. If this proposal were to be implemented across the board, how are they going to afford houses?” he asked.

Gerakan vice-president Datuk Mah Siew Keong said that if the proposal was applied across the board, the property market, construction industry, housing and real estate industry, and economic growth would slow down.

“Bank Negara must study the plan carefully, as the present limit of home loans of 90% has helped the housing and real estate industry,” said Mah, who is also the party’s economic development bureau chairman in a statement.

Housing and Local Government Minister Datuk Chor Chee Heung, however, said the measure would not dampen the housing market as in the long-term, it would actually be a healthy growth for the industry.

Banking sources said Bank Negara might consider discontinuing the 5:95 and 10:90 housing loan packages and impose higher downpayment for property purchasers.

This was due to a surge of between 10% and 30% in the price of landed properties in some parts of the Klang Valley and Penang.

OSK: Property Profile 2010-2013

OSK has prophesied that Malaysia’s property sector is set to see its biggest residential boom in a decade, led mainly by medium- to high-end landed properties, says a research firm.

It may peak in 2012/13 before going into a potential slump, it added.

OSK Research said a major mass housing boom will likely occur in the first half of this decade.

It added that the sector was already entering the early stage of a property “super cycle”.

“Although the expected peak in 2012/13 may have dire consequences, the phenomenal boom that immediately precedes it gives investors an excellent opportunity to profit from the trend for at least the next 12 months.”

“We, therefore, seize the opportunity to upgrade our property sector call to overweight from neutral,” OSK Research said in its research note.

Although location is key to identifying real estate opportunities, what is equally important but often overlooked is timing.

It noted that the current 20-year boom in the medium- to high-end residential properties since the early 1990s might peak in 2012/13, after which mass affordable housing could dominate the real estate industry around 2015/16.

Stocks with focus in the medium- to high-end segment, such as Sunrise, YNH Property, IGB Corp and Bandar Raya Developments, are some of the best bets for the next 12 months.

“Mass housing developers, especially the ‘fallen angels’ such as LBS Bina and MK Land, may come to the fore as another major investment theme after that”.

For “best of all worlds” exposure during this period, OSK Research recommends buying SP Setia.

It said the country’s current boom in higher-end residential properties is probably in its longest “bull run” ever, spanning almost two decades since the early 1990s.

“This, unfortunately, has also given rise to the illusion of the infallibility of properties. We are now entering the final phase of this secular boom, which will be characterised by a period of fast-rising property prices in the medium- to high-end residential segment, particularly landed ones.”

OSK Research observed that those born in the 1950s had become more risk-averse in their investments since 2003/04.

“As they approach retirement, they will divert a significant portion of their wealth into savings and traditionally perceived defensive asset classes such as real estate.

However, their eventual absence may bring an end to the boom if there is no credible demand force to fill the void.”

Emkay Group senior general manager Mazrita Mazlan said the wealthy do not mind paying a little bit extra as long as the properties are away from congested towns.

“As an example, MK Land (MK Land Holdings Bhd) will launch its Rafflesia high-end project, which has units starting at RM2 million apiece.

“Already the project has sold 100 units even before its launch,” Mazrita claimed.

Mercury Securities head of research Edmund Tham said the boom will only benefit certain areas and selected developers.

“When it comes to the so-called boom, it depends on who you talk to. I believe there is a property overhang project in Mont’Kiara and some buyers are facing financing problems.”

Independent property valuation surveyor Sharizal Supian said the trend right now is to go for boutique projects complete with gated communities and modern facilities and townships, such as UEM Land’s Symphony Hill which saw units snapped up within days of its launch.

“The boom, however, only benefits the rich and does not benefit the general public,” Sharizal said.

An Island & Peninsular Bhd executive said that only foreigners will benefit from Malaysia’s property boom due to the cheaper ringgit.

OSK: Property Profile 2010-2013

OSK has prophesied that Malaysia’s property sector is set to see its biggest residential boom in a decade, led mainly by medium- to high-end landed properties, says a research firm.

It may peak in 2012/13 before going into a potential slump, it added.

OSK Research said a major mass housing boom will likely occur in the first half of this decade.

It added that the sector was already entering the early stage of a property “super cycle”.

“Although the expected peak in 2012/13 may have dire consequences, the phenomenal boom that immediately precedes it gives investors an excellent opportunity to profit from the trend for at least the next 12 months.”

“We, therefore, seize the opportunity to upgrade our property sector call to overweight from neutral,” OSK Research said in its research note.

Although location is key to identifying real estate opportunities, what is equally important but often overlooked is timing.

It noted that the current 20-year boom in the medium- to high-end residential properties since the early 1990s might peak in 2012/13, after which mass affordable housing could dominate the real estate industry around 2015/16.

Stocks with focus in the medium- to high-end segment, such as Sunrise, YNH Property, IGB Corp and Bandar Raya Developments, are some of the best bets for the next 12 months.

“Mass housing developers, especially the ‘fallen angels’ such as LBS Bina and MK Land, may come to the fore as another major investment theme after that”.

For “best of all worlds” exposure during this period, OSK Research recommends buying SP Setia.

It said the country’s current boom in higher-end residential properties is probably in its longest “bull run” ever, spanning almost two decades since the early 1990s.

“This, unfortunately, has also given rise to the illusion of the infallibility of properties. We are now entering the final phase of this secular boom, which will be characterised by a period of fast-rising property prices in the medium- to high-end residential segment, particularly landed ones.”

OSK Research observed that those born in the 1950s had become more risk-averse in their investments since 2003/04.

“As they approach retirement, they will divert a significant portion of their wealth into savings and traditionally perceived defensive asset classes such as real estate.

However, their eventual absence may bring an end to the boom if there is no credible demand force to fill the void.”

Emkay Group senior general manager Mazrita Mazlan said the wealthy do not mind paying a little bit extra as long as the properties are away from congested towns.

“As an example, MK Land (MK Land Holdings Bhd) will launch its Rafflesia high-end project, which has units starting at RM2 million apiece.

“Already the project has sold 100 units even before its launch,” Mazrita claimed.

Mercury Securities head of research Edmund Tham said the boom will only benefit certain areas and selected developers.

“When it comes to the so-called boom, it depends on who you talk to. I believe there is a property overhang project in Mont’Kiara and some buyers are facing financing problems.”

Independent property valuation surveyor Sharizal Supian said the trend right now is to go for boutique projects complete with gated communities and modern facilities and townships, such as UEM Land’s Symphony Hill which saw units snapped up within days of its launch.

“The boom, however, only benefits the rich and does not benefit the general public,” Sharizal said.

An Island & Peninsular Bhd executive said that only foreigners will benefit from Malaysia’s property boom due to the cheaper ringgit.