Delicious Combo! |
Reading the answer given to Bursa in August 2011, BJF made some interesting assumptions when pricing both their rights and their warrants.
At the then going price of 81 sen, the rights issue was priced at a 13% discount of 65 sen. The TERP was quoted at 75 sen. With that berth of 10 sen, it was assumed that shareholders will pick up the rights.
As for the warrants, since they have been given free, they wanted to impute a value on it as well. So, they decided that it should be priced at 70 sen giving the tradable value per warrant at 5 sen apiece higher than the 65 sen rights.
Let us used their logic to appraise the current price of BJF. will this be a true reflection or a mirage?
Let us take RM1.40 for convenient calculation. Let us also give it a 13% discount. That would work out to a fair support price of RM1.22 sen. Let us exercise the rights at 65 sen at 1000 shares. Total investment will be RM1.22+0.65=RM1,870 for 2000 shares. That means per 1000 lot is adjusted to RM940.00. At the theoretical support price of RM1.22, you stand to gain RM240.00. Selling off 2 lots of 1000 units will fetch you RM480.00 gross profits.
Will buyers invest in this counter when their shares are adjusted truly to at RM1.22 sen? Looks okay to me since you would still be taking in 28 sen of profit (29%) in such a short window of time.
Let us look the warrants. It will be priced at 70 sen still. So to convert, add 70 sen. Total outlay will be RM700 to change for 1000 shares. If the ex-price is RM1.22, then the TERP of each warrant should be 52 sen.
To a layman this is a bonanza of 52 sen per share. That is another RM520 for the piggy bank.
When the rights offer letter are traded, the opportunity to sell presents itself.
First you collect the 28 sen from selling the rights and then a potential 52 sen from the warrants. The take home will possibly be RM800.00 for one lot of 1000 shares.
Let us see what happens on 17 July or is this the warped and fickle workings of an infantile mind?