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Good or Bad Issue? Timing is Important |
Unico-Desa Plantations is offering current shareholders a distribution in specie of 1 share of
ELK-Desa Resources Bhd (ELKD) for every one
Unico-Desa shares held on 19 November 2012.
To ensure your entitlement, you have to buy this share before 13 November as it exed all on 14 November.
Also there will be an offer for sale on a pro-rata basis of
ELKD.
So if you have 1,000 units then you will get a rights of another 1000 units of
ELKD.
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A Commodity Going Down in Price |
Let's do our maths.
The current price is RM 1.28. So you have to pay RM 1,280.00 + RM 31.00 to purchase 1,000 units from the market. This works out to RM 1,311.00.
But you get 100 units of free
ELKD shares in specie out of the distribution exercise.
I would not know how much the price of
Unico-Desa will go down because of this distribution of the new
ELKD shares.
But we know the value of
ELKD is RM 116.00
So, a possibility will be
Unico-Desa shares will readjust downwards to RM 1.16
So, in real terms, there is a compensation of 100 units of
ELKD for the loss of 12 sen from the price of
Unico-Desa.
No gain and no loss.
So,
Unico's price will re-adjust downwards to RM 1.17 - RM 1.18 after it goes ex.
Next you buy each unit of
ELKD for RM 1.16.
You do not know whether there will be a premium with this bad market after that bad
Astro listing and the current poor oil palm commodity prices.
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Fruiting or Rotting Fruits? |
If I read it right,there is no premium to be got.
You may even get a better price by buying its option papers or when it goes into 'dip mode' with the deluge of ELKD shares when it lists.
Verdict: No go!